New Developments on Russias' Invasion of Ukraine

 After scaling back its publicly stated ambitions in Ukraine, a senior Russian military commander said on Friday that Moscow wanted complete control of all eastern and southern Ukraine. It was unclear if his comments reflected an official shift in Kremlin policy. 





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Tyler Hicks/The New York Times

  Here are the latest developments in the war in Ukraine.

As ssia refocused its efforts on defeating entrenched and increasingly well-armed Ukrainian forces in the east, a senior Russian military commander suggested on Friday that Moscow’s ambitions are far broader than set out in recent weeks.

The commander, Rustam Minnekayev, said Russia was seeking to take control of a swath of territory that stretches from its own border, across southern Ukraine, to a pro-Russia separatist enclave of Moldova, Ukraine’s neighbor to the southwest. 

 Skepticism greets a bold Russian claim about war aims, based 

on its source.

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Credit...Mikhail Klimentyev/Agence France-Presse, via Sputnik/Afp Via Getty Images
President Vladimir V. Putin holding an online meeting of Russia’s Security Council in Moscow, on Thursday.

When Gen. Rustam Minnekayev made a sweeping statement on Friday that Russia’s next military aim would be to seize Ukraine’s entire southern coast, many analysts were skeptical, based not only on the claim, but on its source.

Why would a relatively obscure military figure announce such a major shift in policy, rather than President Vladimir V. Putin, who usually makes such pronouncements, or Defense Minister Sergei K. Shoigu, or Gen. Aleksandr V. Dvornikov, the chief Russian commander for the war in Ukraine?

General Minnekayev’s official job is the organization of political propaganda work in the army’s central district, which comprises a vast territory from the Volga basin to eastern Siberia. His duties normally would not involve formulating military strategy.

Yet he told a gathering of arms industry representatives in Yekaterinburg — more than 1,000 miles away from the fighting — that Russia was seeking to capture a swath of Ukrainian territory from the Donbas region to Moldova. That would cut off Ukraine’s access to the Black Sea, General Minnekayev said, according to Russian news agencies, allowing Russia to “influence critical elements of the Ukrainian economy” and gain “yet another point of access” to the pro-Russian enclave of Moldova known as Transnistria.

According to the defense ministry’s website, General Minnekayev, who is stationed in Yekaterinburg, has been mostly involved in projects unrelated to the invasion, such as discussing the construction of an Orthodox cathedral with the clergy or indoctrinating the country’s youth.

“One of our main goals is the work with the veterans and patriotic upbringing of the new generation,” General Minnekayev told Red Star, the defense ministry’s official newspaper, last April. “We need to tell the youth the truth about the war that our ancestors have not been fighting in vain.”

Yuri Fyodorov, a Russian military analyst, said that, on paper, General Minnekayev’s main line of work is “brainwashing” Russian servicemen. But in reality, he said, the general’s main job is to “collect information about the officers: their views and moods.”

General Minnekayev manages “a system of political control of officers which exists in parallel to military counterintelligence,” Mr. Fyodorov said in an interview.

In Mr. Fyodorov’s view, the commander was probably sanctioned by his superiors to make such a statement, which was then reported by TASS, a state-run news agency.

“Looks like fighting is ongoing among various groups in the higher echelons of power,” he said.

Tatyana Stanovaya, a founder of the political consultancy R. Politik, said that General Minnekayev “is not the person who is supposed to make such statements,” and that it is possible he made it “for propaganda reasons.”

Moscow could not deny the statement, she said in a social media post, because it would make the Russian conservative faction “enraged.” In a regular briefing, Dmitri S. Peskov, the Kremlin’s spokesman, declined to comment on whether General Minnekayev’s comments reflected Mr. Putin’s thinking.

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Anton Troianovski
3 hours ago

President Vladimir V. Putin of Russia will meet with AntĂ³nio Guterres, the United Nations secretary general, in Moscow on April 26, the Kremlin said. Mr. Guterres made a request earlier this week for a meeting with Mr. Putin to “discuss urgent steps to bring about peace.”

Marc Santora
3 hours ago

Russia’s military paid a high price for the Kremlin’s ‘victory’ in the ruined city of Mariupol.

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Credit...Chingis Kondarov/Reuters
Russian-backed troops in front of a steel plant in Mariupol, Ukraine, on Thursday.

As soldiers and civilians trapped in bunkers beneath a sprawling steel plant in Mariupol issued desperate pleas for help on Friday, military analysts said that it might take days or even weeks for the heavily battered Russian forces who now control most of the city to regroup and join Moscow’s offensive in the eastern Donbas region.

The Kremlin on Thursday declared “victory” in the now ruined city even though Ukrainian forces still held the Azovstal steel plant near Mariupol’s port. President Vladimir V. Putin ordered his forces not to storm the plant but rather to block it “so that a fly can not pass through.”

A final assault on the plant would have almost surely resulted in further casualties for Russia in a campaign that military analysts and Ukrainian officials say has already taken a heavy toll.

Mariupol, a strategic port city, was targeted on the first day of Russia’s invasion two months ago. It has been surrounded by Russian forces for some 50 days and been the scene of some of the most intense fighting of the war.

While the defenders of the city are now confined to the steel plant, Ukrainians and western military analysts said that in weeks of fighting they killed high-ranking Russian soldiers and many members of elite Russian fighting units.

Even as the city around them was reduced to rubble, Ukrainian soldiers continued to ambush and attack Russians entering the city. It is impossible to know exactly how many Russian soldiers were killed in the battle but the Institute for the Study of War, a Washington think-tank, said they suffered “high casualties.”

“Russian forces involved in the battle of Mariupol are likely heavily damaged and Ukrainian forces succeeded in tying down and degrading a substantial Russian force,” according to the group’s analysis.

The British military defense intelligence agency said on Friday that the decision to blockade the Azovstal plant “likely indicates a desire to contain Ukrainian resistance in Mariupol and free up Russian forces to be deployed elsewhere in eastern Ukraine.”

Western military officials estimate that there were about 12 Russian battalion tactical groups in the city at the start of the week. At full strength, the battalions consist of between 700 to 1,000 soldiers. It is highly unlikely the Russian battalions who fought in the city remained at full strength, according to the Institute for the Study of War.

Some portion of the Russian forces will be needed for missions outside the eastern offensive.

The raging fight in Mariupol has left an estimated 95 percent of the structures in the city destroyed or so damaged that they will likely need to be torn down, and Russia will need soldiers to secure the ruins and clear out any remaining pockets of resistance. Other soldiers might be needed to maintain control of southern Ukraine.

And despite the Kremlin’s claim of victory, the Russians must now maintain their siege of the steel plant.

Iryna Vereshchuk, the Ukrainian deputy prime minister, said Friday that the Russian army had made it clear that they would not let civilians leave the plant unless the soldiers inside surrendered first. She estimated that around 1,000 civilians, many of them “women, children, and the elderly,” were still inside the plant. While Russia opened a corridor for soldiers to surrender, she said, it has not guaranteed safe passage out for civilians.

“The Russians refuse to open a corridor for civilians, cynically pretending that they do not understand the difference between a corridor for the military to surrender and a humanitarian corridor to evacuate the civilians,” she wrote on Telegram. “But they do understand it all. It’s just that they are trying to lay extra pressure on our military.”

The world’s largest airplane is among the casualties of the war in Ukraine.

    




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Credit...Daniel Berehulak for The New York Times
Oleksandr Halunenko, the first pilot of Mriya, surveying damage to the world's largest cargo aircraft at the Antonov airfield in Hostomel, near Kyiv.

BUCHA, Ukraine — The day war broke out, one of Ukraine’s most decorated pilots stepped onto the balcony of his three-story home and felt a pain in his heart.

A battle was raging at a nearby airport, and from where he was standing, the pilot, Oleksandr Halunenko, could see the explosions and feel the shudders. The Russians were invading his country and something very specific worried him.

Mriya.

The plane.

In a hangar a few miles away rested the world’s largest airplane, the Antonov An-225, so special that only one was ever built, in the 1980s. Its name is Mriya, pronounced Mer-EE-ah, which in Ukrainian means The Dream.

With its six jet engines, twin tail fins and a wingspan nearly as long as a football field, Mriya hauled gargantuan amounts of cargo across the world, mesmerizing crowds wherever it landed. It was an airplane celebrity, aviation enthusiasts say, and widely beloved. It was also a cherished symbol of Ukraine.

Mr. Halunenko was Mriya’s first pilot and loved it like a child. He has turned his home into a Mriya shrine — pictures and paintings and models of the aircraft hang in every room.

But that morning, he had a terrible feeling.

“I saw so many bombs and so much smoke,” he said. “I knew Mriya could not survive.”

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