Showing posts with label poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label poll. Show all posts

February 13, 2017

Gallop Says Americans See US Standing at Its Worst in a Decade

  • 42% of Americans believe the world views the U.S. favorably
  • 29% say world leaders respect Trump; 67% said same of Obama in 2009
  • Satisfaction with U.S. on the world stage is near record low
WASHINGTON, D.C. -- Americans believe the world at large sees the U.S. more unfavorably (57%) than favorably (42%), their worst assessment of the country's image in 10 years. A year ago, Americans' perceptions were more positive than negative.
Graph 1
These results are from a Gallup survey conducted Feb. 1-5, about two weeks into Donald Trump's presidency. The 42% favorable rating is one of the lowest since Gallup began asking this question in 2000 and may be attributable to the election of Trump, whose sometimes controversial statements and actions have rankled several world leaders. However, Americans' perceptions of the image of the U.S. abroad were marginally worse in 2007, when 40% thought the world viewed the nation favorably. At the time, the U.S. was embroiled in wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, and President George W. Bush was highly unpopular.
The high-water mark for Americans believing the U.S. is viewed favorably was 79% in 2002, in the wake of the 9/11 terrorist attacks in the U.S.
Much of this year's drop in favorable perceptions of how the world views the U.S. is fueled by a precipitous slide among Democrats now that a Republican president is in office. Currently, 31% of Democrats think the world views the U.S. at least somewhat favorably, down from 68% last year. By contrast, Republicans' views have improved this year, to 54% from 39%, but not enough to offset the decline among Democrats.
Few Americans Believe Leaders Worldwide Respect Trump
Fewer than three in 10 Americans (29%) say leaders of other countries have respect for the new president, with 67% saying world leaders do not have much respect for him. When Barack Obama took office in 2009, the results were nearly opposite: 67% of Americans then believed global leaders respected the president, while 20% said leaders did not. At the time of the prior presidential transition in 2001, more Americans also believed George W. Bush was respected than believed he was not.
The 29% now believing that world leaders respect the president also represents a sharp drop from one year ago, in the last year of Obama's presidency. At that time, 45% said they believed the president was respected.
One reason for the drop is that fewer Republicans today think Trump is respected (60%) than Democrats in 2016 thought Obama was respected (79%).
Satisfaction With World Position Little Changed From 2016
Despite Americans' depressed perceptions of how world leaders view their new president, Americans' satisfaction with the country's position in the world hasn't changed much from last year -- 32% say they are satisfied with the position of the U.S. worldwide, down slightly from 36% in 2016.
Graph 3
The current reading continues a recent trend of relatively low satisfaction with the nation's global status, something that has persisted since the Iraq War troop surge in 2007.
While the Iraq War may have been a factor a decade ago, satisfaction has remained low even as U.S. involvement has wound down. The rise of the Islamic State and terrorism in general may be contributing to Americans' continued low level of satisfaction with their country's position in the world. Americans' widespread dissatisfaction with the way things are going in the U.S. could also affect their level of satisfaction with the nation's world standing.
Bottom Line
At the beginning of Trump's presidency, Americans' perceptions of how the world views the U.S. and its new president are significantly worse than they were a year ago -- and are on the low end for the past decade. This has been fueled by a sharp decline among Democrats who hold highly negative views of Trump's character and opening job performance.
But even a year ago, when Americans thought the world viewed the U.S. and Obama positively, Americans were still largely unsatisfied with the nation's global standing. This trend has been steadily negative for the past decade. Americans may not put much weight on how the rest of the world perceives the president in assessing whether they are satisfied with the United States' standing in the world. In addition to concerns about international matters such as Syria and terrorism, those views may be influenced by how they think things are going in the U.S., their low confidence in public institutions and their low trust in government. Such factors appear to have a marked effect on how Americans feel when they look beyond their borders.

by Art Swift
Historical data are available in Gallup Analytics.
Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted Feb. 1-5, 2017, with a random sample of 1,035 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. All reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.
Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 70% cellphone respondents and 30% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.

January 18, 2017

Regardless of What You Heard, , How do People Feel about Loosing Obama Care?

January 12, 2017

New Gallop Shows More Americans Open to Say If They are Gay

More than 10 million Americans now identify as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender, according to a new analysis by Gallup of its daily polling data.
The analysis, based on interviews with more than 1.6 million US adults over five years of data collection, suggests that this isn’t just because the population is growing but because more people are openly identifying as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender than before. About 3.5 percent of American adults identified this way in 2012, while 4.1 percent did in 2016.

Gallup’s data shows more people identify as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender.Gallup

Younger generations are more likely to identify as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender. According to Gallup, 7.3 percent of millennials identified as such in 2016, up from 5.8 percent in 2012. Just 3.2 percent of Generation X did in 2016 (the same as in 2012), 2.4 percent of baby boomers did (down from 2.7 percent in 2012), and 1.4 percent of traditionalists did (down from 1.8 percent in 2012).

Gallup data shows younger generations are more likely to identify as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender.Gallup

Gallup found rises in identifying as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender among men, women, all racial groups, all income groups, and all education levels. The two groups that weren’t more likely to identify as such were the moderately and highly religious.
The findings don’t necessarily mean that the number of people who are LGBTQ has increased over the past few years. Rather, the results may show that people are more willing to be open about their identities now that LGBTQ people are much more accepted in American society. After all, it’s likely no coincidence that the generation most accepting of LGBTQ rights — from same-sex marriage to trans rights — is also the most likely to say it identifies as gay, lesbian, bisexual, or transgender.
In some sense, then, the survey can be taken as a sign of progress: After centuries of oppression of LGBTQ people, more are willing to live their lives out in the open.
Originally posted at VOX

September 20, 2016

Clinton Ahead in Most Win State of Pennsylvania by 9 Points

Democrat Hillary Clinton has a 9-point lead among likely Pennsylvania voters as Republican Donald Trump continues to struggle among groups key to winning the state, according to a Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll released Saturday.

The survey, conducted Sept. 12-16, shows Clinton leading the presidential race here with support from 47 percent of likely voters who say they intend to vote for her or are leaning that way. Trump is at 38 percent, while 11 percent say they'd pick neither of the major-party choices, and 4 percent are not sure.

Clinton’s lead narrows slightly to 8 percent when third-party candidates are included, with 40 percent for her, 32 percent for Trump, 14 percent for Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and 5 percent for Green Party nominee Jill Stein. 
A demographic breakdown shows Clinton holding a significant lead among women, college-educated voters, and those in the state's densely populated southeast.
"Those are all cornerstones of Pennsylvania electoral math, and right now, he's lagging in all of those areas," said Chris Borick, director of the Muhlenberg College Institute of Public Opinion, which conducted the state poll of 405 likely general election voters.

Trump's troubles aren't helping Republican U.S. Sen. Pat Toomey in his tough re-election battle. The poll shows Democratic challenger Katie McGinty ahead of Toomey, 43 percent to 38 percent.

That’s within the survey’s 5.5 percent margin of error, but in line with other recent polls that have shown the race tightening since Toomey's early-summer leads. 

Poll results: Who would you vote for if the election were held today?

The poll results follow a tumultuous week on the presidential campaign trail, which began with Clinton sidelined due to a bout of pneumonia that caused her to hastily leave an event. It ended with a renewed look at Trump's years of insinuations regarding President Obama's birthplace, with the GOP nominee acknowledging for the first time that Obama was born in the United States but also falsely blaming Clinton for starting the rumors about the president's citizenship.

They also come as national polls and those in several swing states have shown Clinton's lead dwindling. As with the new poll, other surveys of Pennsylvania voters have suggested the double-digit margin she built after the July conventions is narrowing.

Pennsylvania's polls are getting extra attention as analysts look to the state as one that may decide the outcome of the presidential contest. David Rothschild, an economist who runs an online forecasting model, told the New York Times last week that Pennsylvania "has been the most likely tipping-point state since the mid-summer."

The new Muhlenberg survey suggests that Trump has some work to do if he's going to tip Pennsylvania's 20 electoral votes to a Republican for the first time since 1988.
A critical challenge lies within his own party: 71 percent of Republicans say they're backing Trump, while 10 percent back Clinton and 19 percent are unsure. Among Democrats, 81 percent are for Clinton, 11 percent are for Trump and 9 percent are uncertain.

Independents lean toward Clinton, 42 percent to 33 percent, and one-quarter are undecided.

"Trump is able to attract some Democrats, but he can't lose the amount of Republicans that this poll is showing and win the state," Borick said. "It's not mathematically possible."

Trump's challenges are not aiding Toomey in his own closely watched contest, in which Borick described Toomey's chances as "tied to someone who he's not very interested in being tied to."
Toomey has not endorsed Trump and has condemned some of the nominee's comments, but has not ruled out supporting Trump. Still, McGinty and her surrogates have sought to link Toomey and Trump.

At a rally Saturday outside the Lehigh County GOP headquarters in Allentown, about 100 Latino activists also sought to connect the two candidates, holding signs that read: "Dump Trump, Dump Toomey."

Among them was Hilda Gonzalez, who emigrated from Mexico 15 years ago and doesn't like Toomey's positions on immigration issues.

Toomey opposes Philadelphia's sanctuary city policy and has introduced legislation to withhold some federal money from cities that prohibit local police from cooperating with federal immigration officials.
Gonzalez also takes issue with Trump's rhetoric about building a wall along the Mexican border.

"I cannot imagine the United States of America with a president like him," she said.

Borick said Trump's demographic struggles highlighted by the poll are consistent with the candidate's well-documented weak spots.

Among women, Trump is behind by 18 points, following a week in which he visited Delaware County to unveil a maternity-leave policy and tax deductions for child-care expenses.
Clinton ties Trump among white voters and men. The two candidates are neck and neck among those without college degrees, with 43 percent for Clinton and 42 percent for Trump. But among those with college degrees, she tops him, 51 percent to 35 percent.

In Philadelphia and the surrounding counties, Clinton has a wide margin of 30 percentage points, 56 percent to 26 percent, according to the survey. The wider Clinton's margin in southeastern Pennsylvania, the more difficult it will be for Trump to counteract those gains in less-populated areas of the state, Borick said.

Trump lags by 3 percent in Pittsburgh and the surrounding southwestern counties, and he beats Clinton, 48 percent to 37 percent, among voters outside of the southeast and the southwest.

Amid the cacophony of the presidential contest, some voters told Muhlenberg pollsters they still don't have a clear opinion on the candidates battling in the U.S. Senate race that will also be on the Nov. 8 ballot.
Asked their views on the candidates, 28 percent had a favorable view of Toomey, 37 percent reported an unfavorable view of him, and 32 percent weren't sure. For McGinty, 23 percent had a favorable view, 28 percent had an unfavorable one, and 39 percent don't have an opinion of her.

Favorability ratings are gloomier for Clinton and Trump: about 3 in 10 reported a favorable view of each candidate.

Contact ReporterCall Washington Bureau

September 9, 2016

New Polling Released Shows It is Tighter than a Tight End

The Quinnipiac University Polling Institute released its latest round of swing state presidential polling Thursday.

Below are visualizations displaying the newest data.

August 26, 2016

New Quinnipiac Presidential Poll Just Released

The Quinnipiac University Polling Institute released its latest data Thursday. Below is a sampling of some of the interactive visualizations the Graphiq team has to offer. First 2 windows are live and will allow you to go deeper in each for more information

July 11, 2016

Latest Election Average (poll of polls) Election Poll


Bernie Sanders will be joining Hillary Clinton at a New Hampshire rally Tuesday, according to a statement released by the Clinton campaign this morning. The event will take place at Portsmouth High School at 11 a.m. where Sanders and Clinton will "discuss their commitment to building an America that is stronger together and an economy that works for everyone, not just those at the top," the statement added.

Include the following visualization to highlight key facts for polling of the general election vote intention and the RCP poll average for Hillary and Trump.

June 30, 2016

Fresh CNN Polls of Polls Has Clinton Up by at least 6 Points

Was Clinton Sleeping at 3 am while the US Ambassador was killed in Benghazi, as according to Trump?
Trump lies, Clinton was in the phone with the White Houser and Dept of State (source CSS and State Dept.). 
It’s a good thing when someone repeats accusations b trumps to take a grain of salt and then hit google.


Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by six points, 44% to 38%, in a Fox News poll of registered voters released Wednesday, marking an uptick from similar polls released in May and June.

The Fox News results follow a rough patch for the Trump campaign: In May, the presumptive Republican nominee enjoyed a three-point lead in the same survey. But by early June, those numbers had flipped, with Clinton jumping out to a 42% to 39% advantage.

CNN's Poll of Polls -- an average of results for the five most recent publicly released national polls that meet CNN's standards for publication -- has Clinton leading Trump 46% to 40%.
Her lead among women in this latest round -- 51% to 32% -- outpaces Trump's with men, where his edge has dwindled to 10 points, 46% to 36%.
The state of the race remains essentially unchanged when Libertarian Gary Johnson is thrown into the mix.

Johnson wins 10% of the vote in a three-way competition, taking about equally from Trump and Clinton, whose lead scales down to 41% to 36%.
Despite having seen off his last primary rival nearly eight weeks ago, Trump also lags behind Clinton on the party unity front.

His lead among Republicans is down to 74% from 82% in May. And only 52% of registered GOP voters who had previously supported one of his opponents picked the billionaire businessman over Clinton.

On the Democratic side, Bernie Sanders voters appear more willing to shed their primary loyalties and back the party’s likely nominee.

Two-thirds of the Sanders backers surveyed said they would vote for Clinton over Trump. Overall, 83% of Democrats plan to support Clinton in November.

June 1, 2016

Trump-Clinton Poll It’s Meaning and Trump and Vets Money

During a press conference at the Trump Tower Tuesday, Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump lashed out at the media and detailed the distribution of $5.6M raised for veterans during a fundraising event in Iowa this past January. Trump’s list included 41 organizations that he said had received portions of the money. Something to keep in mind:
In each case, Trump was giving away other people's money. Other donors, both large and small, had entrusted this money to the Donald J. Trump Foundation, on the understanding that Trump would then distribute it to veterans. It is money that he was just supposed to distribute which he only did minimally  until today. 
Below are visualizations overviewing election polling statistics and veterans per capita by state in the U.S.
You will also see the catching up of Trump to Clinton. What does it mean to Clinton? Not much! This poll only reflects how the electorate feels at one particular day in time. Way far from November and not even after Clinton Started fighting only one war in a united party after the “Perrot” factor which in this election would be the “Sanders” factor who wont quit even though he has been defeated but still free to cause mayhem in the party unity. 

There are many factors that you don’t see by just looking at the numbers. If you read how the poll was conducted, how many people where asked what questions and wether the same amount of Democrats were used and Republicans including the ages of the samples used.
Then you might get the real picture which means Trumps backers are united and unmoved by all the bad publicity Trump is gotten from his temperament to the Vets question which it now seems that the vets got what they got thanks to the media putting fire under the candidates behind.  That is why you are not seeing a lot of polling from the usuals (all networks, pew etc) right now.

Until the Democratic primary takes place numbers will be deceptive. The numbers that tell a better picture is when the two candidates are battling each other with their respective parties behind them. 

May 14, 2016

Pew Research: Acceptance and Steady Support for Gay Marriage

Support for same-sex marriage holds steady after 2015 Supreme Court rulingNearly a year ago, the U.S. Supreme Court issued an unprecedented ruling that determined same-sex couples had a constitutional right to marry, a decision that legalized same-sex marriage throughout the country. While the public’s attitudes toward gay marriage remain unchanged from a year ago, they have changed dramatically over the past two decades.
Now, just over half of Americans (55%) say they favor allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally, while 37% remain opposed, according to Pew Research Center’s Marchpoll. A decade ago, the balance of opinion was reversed: 55% were opposed, while 35% were in favor.
Conservative Republicans remain broadly opposed to same-sex marriageAnd as was the case a year ago, there remains a substantial divide between partisans on the issue. Democrats are more than twice as likely as Republicans to favor gay marriage (70% vs. 33%).
Yet there are key differences within the two parties as well. Among Republicans, 71% of conservative Republicans oppose allowing gays and lesbians to marry legally, more than twice the share of GOP moderates and liberals (34%). A 55% majority of moderate and liberal Republicans favor allowing same-sex marriage.
Within the GOP, these ideological differences also are notable across voters’ primary preferences for the party’s 2016 presidential nominee. About half (52%) of GOP voters who back Donald Trump (now the party’s presumptive nominee) say they oppose same-sex marriage, compared with 70% who preferred Ted Cruz and just 37% who backed John Kasich.
Democrats across the board are supportive of gay marriage (70% favor, 24% oppose), with slight differences by ideology and candidate preference. Liberal Democrats overwhelmingly support gay marriage (84%), compared with a smaller majority of their conservative and moderate counterparts (59% favor). And a wide 83% majority of Bernie Sanders supporters are supportive of gays and lesbians marrying legally (just 15% are opposed), compared with a smaller majority of Hillary Clinton supporters (68%).
Younger, more educated, less religious more likely to support gay marriageViews on gay marriage also vary by age, education and religious affiliation.
The March survey finds a familiar pattern in views of same-sex marriage across age categories: People younger than 30 are most supportive (73%), followed by those who are ages 30 to 49 (61%), those 50 to 64 (47%) and, finally, those 65 and older (38%).
Among those with higher levels of education, there is widespread support. A large majority of the public with at least a college degree (68%) say same-sex marriage should be legal. By contrast, those with a high school degree or less education are split on the issue: While 45% favor same-sex marriage, 46% are opposed.
Views also differ across religious groups, as well as by frequency of religious service attendance. White evangelical Protestants are far more likely to oppose than to favor same-sex marriage (68% vs. 27%). By contrast, most white mainline Protestants (64%) and Catholics (58%) favor gay marriage. Among the religiously unaffiliated, 80% favor same-sex marriage, while just 12% are opposed.

Views of societal acceptance of homosexuality

Changing views among religious groups on whether homosexuality should be acceptedToday, a 63% majority say homosexuality should be accepted by society, a share that also has grown over the past few decades. Fewer (28%) say homosexuality should be discouraged. But there are differences on the issue among religious and partisan groups.
Some religious groups have become more accepting of homosexuality over time while others remain steady. Ten years ago, a 77% majority of those unaffiliated with a religion said homosexuality should be accepted by society, and still today fully 80% say this.
Protestants overall are more likely than they were 10 years ago to say homosexuality should be accepted by society (52% now vs. 38% then). However, Protestant groups continue to have different views of this issue. Among white evangelical Protestants, a third (34%) say homosexuality should be accepted by society, a share that has increased 12 percentage points from 2006. And half of black Protestants now think that homosexuality should be accepted by society, up just slightly from 44% a decade ago.
By contrast, a large majority of white mainline Protestants hold the view that homosexuality should be accepted by society, and this share also has increased over time: Fully three-quarters say this now (76%), compared with 53% in 2006.
Two-thirds of Catholics now say homosexuality should be accepted by society, compared with 22% who say it should be discouraged. Views among Catholics have shifted modestly over the past decade: The share that says homosexuality should be accepted is up 8 points from 2006 (58% said accepted then, 31% discouraged).
Increasing shares in both parties say homosexuality should be acceptedWhen it comes to differences among partisans on whether homosexuality should be accepted by society, there has been a persistent 26-point gap between Republicans and Democrats over the course of a decade.
About three-quarters of Democrats (74%) hold the view that homosexuality should be accepted, up from 59% in 2006. Though slightly fewer independents say the same, they have closely mirrored Democrats on this question over the past decade. Today, two-thirds of independents say homosexuality should be accepted by society, while 25% say it should be discouraged.
Over the past year, declining share of conservative Republicans say homosexuality should be discouragedJust about half of Republicans (48%) now say homosexuality should be accepted, a number that has ticked up 15 points from its low 10 years ago. Republicans today are somewhat more likely than they were a year ago to say homosexuality should be accepted by society. Up until a year ago, a majority of Republicans thought homosexuality should be discouraged by society, but views have since become more mixed. While 41% of Republicans now say homosexuality should be discouraged, 48% think it should be accepted by society.
Conservative Republicans remain more likely to say homosexuality should be discouraged than say it should be accepted, but just about half say this today (49%) compared with 63% in May 2015.
By contrast, seven-in-ten moderate and liberal Republicans now say homosexuality should be accepted (71%), which is little changed since May 2015.

April 21, 2016

Going to Penn.Clinton Holds Double Digit Lead over Bern on New Poll

LAS VEGAS, NV - OCTOBER 13:  Democratic presidential candidates U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-VT) (L) and Hillary Clinton take part in a presidential debate sponsored by CNN and Facebook at Wynn Las Vegas on October 13, 2015 in Las Vegas, Nevada. Five Democratic presidential candidates are participating in the party's first presidential debate.  (Photo by Joe Raedle/Getty Images)

The Monmouth University Poll has found Hillary Clinton currently holds a double-digit lead over Bernie Sanders in next week’s Pennsylvania primary. 

Clinton has the support of 52% of likely Democratic primary voters in the Keystone State while Sanders’s support stands at 39%. Clinton holds a significant lead among women (61% to 32%), while Sanders leads among men (50% to 41%). Clinton also has a significant advantage among voters age 50 and older (57% to 33%) while Sanders holds a narrow edge among voters under 50 (48% to 46%).

“After her win in New York this week, these numbers in nearby Pennsylvania suggest that the entire northeast is looking pretty good for the Clinton campaign,” said Patrick Murray, director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute.

Pennsylvania is considered a swing state in the November election. The Monmouth poll finds that a small number of Democrats may defect from the party if their favored candidate does not get the nomination. If the general election is between Clinton and Donald Trump, 81% of Pennsylvania Democratic primary voters say they would commit to supporting Clinton while 11% say they would vote for Trump. If Sanders is the nominee, 78% of Pennsylvania Democratic primary voters would back Sanders while 11% would vote for Trump.

The questions referred to in this release are as follows:
(* Some columns may not add to 100% due to rounding.)
1. If the Democratic primary election for president was today, would you vote for – [NAMES

2016 Hillary Clinton 52% 
Bernie Sanders 39%
(VOL) Other 2% 
(VOL) Undecided 7%
(n) (302)

October 29, 2015

Latest Polling for GOP Candidates-Interactive Graphic

September 19, 2015

Polling of candidates in GOP Debate-Interactive

January 23, 2015

New Gallup Poll on Americans Towards Gays See Numbers change

Against the backdrop of the Supreme Court's recent decision to accept four cases involving whether states can constitutionally prohibit same-sex marriages, a slight majority of Americans (53%) say they are satisfied with the acceptance of gays and lesbians in the U.S. This level is the same as last year but remains higher than those Gallup has measured over the past decade.
Americans' Satisfaction With Acceptance of Gays and Lesbians in U.S.
Acceptance of gays and lesbians is one of two issues that saw zero change in Americans' satisfaction levels from the previous year in Gallup's annual Mood of the Nation poll, conducted Jan. 5-8. Only recently have a majority of Americans said they were satisfied with the state of acceptance of gay and lesbian people in the country, surpassing the 50% mark last year for the first time. However, since 2005, satisfaction has grown more on this than any other issue that Gallup has asked Americans about.
In May 2014, Gallup found that 58% of Americans felt gay and lesbian relations were morally acceptable. But Americans' personal opinions about homosexuality do not dictate whether they are satisfied with the current level of acceptance toward it.
Americans Who Want Less Gay Acceptance on the Decline
In a follow-up question that probed Americans who are dissatisfied with the current acceptance of gays for their position, 16% of Americans indicate they want to see more acceptance while 14% want less. Another 10% are dissatisfied, but don't have a preference for whether there should be more or less acceptance.
As the percentage of Americans satisfied with the acceptance of gays and lesbians has increased markedly since the mid-2000s, there has been a much greater drop in the percentage who are dissatisfied and want less acceptance of gays and lesbians, from 30% to 14%, than of those who want more acceptance, 20% to 16%.
Satisfaction With the Degree of Acceptance
The general trend suggests that over time, fewer Americans are dissatisfied because they want less tolerance, and more classify themselves as satisfied. The percentage who are dissatisfied because they want more tolerance has remained fairly stable. This may indicate a broad pattern by which Americans who previously wanted less tolerance of gays and lesbians have become more likely to accept the situation as it is today.
Democrats Remain Most Satisfied With Gay Acceptance, Republicans the Least
Sixty percent of Democrats say they are satisfied with acceptance of gays and lesbians, slightly more than independents (55%) and considerably more than Republicans (43%). Those are the highest measures to date for Democrats and independents. Republicans' satisfaction is down from last year, likely explaining the lack of change in overall satisfaction.
Americans who identify with the GOP have been least satisfied with gay acceptance since 2012 -- an election year that saw the first pro-same-sex-marriage presidential candidate as well as the first openly gay U.S. senator elected to office. Unlike independents and Democrats, Republicans' satisfaction has never reached the 50% mark.
From 2001 to 2008, when few states recognized same-sex marriages, Democrats were generally the least satisfied with gay acceptance. But the issue didn't see large differences between parties until 2007, when Democrats and Republicans were separated by 14 percentage points -- the first double-digit difference in opinion between those who affiliate themselves with the two parties.
Bottom Line
To many pro-gay supporters, 2014 was a "banner year" in gay rights as the number of states allowing marriage equality nearly doubled. And while support for same-sex marriage may have inched higher, the events of 2014 didn't sway Americans' collective levels of satisfaction with acceptance of gays and lesbians. While the Supreme Court's decision this spring could put an end to the issue of the constitutionality of same-sex marriage once and for all -- or breathe new life into a movement that opposes it -- the news might not budge Americans' satisfaction with gay acceptance.
Marriage equality supporters may be satisfied with the string of legal victories at both state and federal levels. Satisfaction with acceptance could also come from an increased exposure of lesbian, gay, bisexual and transgender (LGBT) people in the media. Conversely, some supporters of LGBT equality could be dissatisfied with the 14 remaining states that have not legalized same-sex marriage, or disheartened by state legislation to allow businesses to turn away gay customers on the basis of religious liberty.
Those who oppose marriage equality and other issues important to the gay community could easily feel dissatisfied with gay acceptance related to massive legal battle losses and other high-profile gestures of support for gay people. They could be satisfied, however, if they live in a state where gay marriage is still illegal, or if they feel emboldened by elected officials who continue to fight its legalization.
Survey Methods
Results for this Gallup poll are based on telephone interviews conducted Jan. 5-8, 2015, on the Gallup U.S. Daily survey, with a random sample of 804 adults, aged 18 and older, living in all 50 U.S. states and the District of Columbia. For results based on the total sample of national adults, the margin of sampling error is ±4 percentage points at the 95% confidence level. All reported margins of sampling error include computed design effects for weighting.
Each sample of national adults includes a minimum quota of 50% cellphone respondents and 50% landline respondents, with additional minimum quotas by time zone within region. Landline and cellular telephone numbers are selected using random-digit-dial methods.
Learn more about how Gallup Poll Social Series works.

October 27, 2014

Federal Recognition of Gay Marriage Matches the Public Opinion Polls


The federal government announced Saturday that it will recognize same-sex marriages in six additional states. Now, gay couples in Alaska, Arizona, Idaho, North Carolina, West Virginia and Wyoming eligible for a variety of federal benefits such as Social Security for widowers or the ability to file a joint income tax return—a move that puts the government more in tune with popular opinion.
"With each new state where same-sex marriages are legally recognized, our nation moves closer to achieving of full equality for all Americans," said Attorney General Eric Holder. "We are acting as quickly as possible with agencies throughout the government to ensure that same-sex married couples in these states receive the fullest array of benefits allowable under federal law."
Last week, Holder issued a similar announcement about seven other states: Colorado, Indiana, Nevada, Oklahoma, Utah, Virginia and Wisconsin. With Saturday’s announcement, the federal government recognizes same-sex couples in 32 states and the District of Columbia. The two announcements come after the Supreme Court declined to hear appeals in cases that made gay marriage legal in each of these states.
According to the Pew Research Center, as of February 23, 39 percent of Americans oppose same-sex marriage and 54 percent support it—a sharp distinction from 1996 when 65 percent opposed and only 27 percent supported it. And it wasn't until 2011 that Americans were split on the question.
Coincidentally, with the addition of the six states today, now about 39 percent of Americans (roughly 120 million people) live in states where same-sex marriage is not federally recognized—which is the same as the percentage of Americans who oppose it, according to Pew. In other words, the number of Americans who don't oppose same-sex marriage is roughly the same as the number of Americans who live in states where it's federally recognized.
Of course, that doesn’t exactly put the right people in the right place.

March 14, 2014

Pew Pall Today: Poor Countries Feel a Need to believe in God Than Richer Ones and more…

Many people around the world think it is necessary to believe in God to be a moral person, according to surveys in 40 countries by the Pew Research Center. However, this view is more common in poorer countries than in wealthier ones.
In 22 of the 40 countries surveyed, clear majorities say it is necessary to believe in God to be moral and have good values. This position is highly prevalent, if not universal, in Africa and the Middle East. At least three-quarters in all six countries surveyed in Africa say that faith in God is essential to morality. In the Middle East, roughly seven-in-ten or more agree in Egypt, Jordan, Turkey, the Palestinian territories, Tunisia and Lebanon. Across the two regions, only in Israel does a majority think it is notnecessary to believe in God to be an upright person.
Many people in Asia and Latin America also link faith and morality. For example, Indonesians, Pakistanis, Filipinos and Malaysians almost unanimously think that belief in God is central to having good values. People in El Salvador, Brazil, Bolivia and Venezuela overwhelmingly agree. However, most Chinese take the opposite position – that it is not necessary to be a believer to be a moral person. And in Latin America, the Chileans and Argentines are divided.
In North America and Europe, more people agree that it is possible to be non-religious and still be an upright person. At least half in nearly every country surveyed take this view, including roughly eight-in-ten or more in France, Spain, the Czech Republic and Britain. In these two regions, Americans are unique – 53% say belief in God is necessary to be moral.
These are among the main findings of Pew Research Center surveys conducted among 40,080 people in 40 countries between 2011 and 2013 (see “Survey Methods” for more details). The survey also finds that publics in richer nations tend to place less emphasis on the need to believe in God to have good values than people in poorer countries do. Two countries, however, stand out as clear exceptions to this pattern: the U.S. and China. Americans are much more likely than their economic counterparts to say belief in God is essential to morality, while the Chinese are much less likely to do so.
Wealth and Attitudes Toward Morality
Views on faith and morality vary by age and educationThere are also significant divides within some countries based on age and education, particularly in Europe and North America. In general, individuals age 50 or older and those without a college education are more likely to link morality to religion. For example, in Greece, 62% of older adults say it is necessary to believe in God to be a moral person, while just 29% of 18- to 29-year-olds agree. In the U.S., a majority of individuals without a college degree (59%) say faith is essential to be an upright person, while fewer than four-in-ten college graduates say the same (37%).

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