A Week of Trump's Going Even Deeper Into His Racism Not Wanting Testing~ Timeline
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| He is crawling up the hill. Too fat to bend down to get the ball he gos on all fours which is just perfect for the picture that many have of him. Would he be able to crawl back to the ToP? Up to you! |
There is so much going on I figure I give you a trimline with the highlights and a URL to more information if you wish to know more.
Will today be Racial Justice Tuesday at the ballot box? While President Trump seems to have hit a low point, there are new leaders on the rise. But today's Daily Dose examines how Trump can mount his comeback. Plus, we're previewing an ex-attorney general's humiliation, introducing you to a Trump-curious Democrat and examining the prospects for peace in Libya. Read on.
Racial justice Tuesday?
*Multicolored Congress
The 116th Congress is the most racially diverse in history, beginning with 116 people of color in the House and Senate, including 56 Black lawmakers. And those numbers are set to rise even more dramatically this year — with a boost from the Black Lives Matter movement. It starts today with primaries in New York and Kentucky.
*Black Candidates Matter
By now you’ve probably heard of Jamaal Bowman (pictured) — one of our 86 Angelic Troublemakers — a Black middle-school principal who could take out longtime Rep. Eliot Engel in today’s Democratic primary. But you should also keep an eye on Jackie Gordon, running in the Dem primary to replace retiring GOP Rep. Peter King in a competitive seat, and Mondaire Jones, running to replace retiring Dem Rep. Nita Lowey in a blue seat. More gains are likely in places like Seattle, where 2 of the top 3 Democratic contenders in the Aug. 4 primary to replace retiring Rep. Denny Heck are Black.
*Senate Slog
The Senate is much whiter than the House, with just 10 people of color, including three Black senators. New Mexico Democrat Ben Ray Lujan is likely to add a new Latino face to the mix this year, and Indian American Republican Manny Sethi has a good chance in Tennessee. The Black candidates are longer shots: Republican John James in Michigan, Democrat Jaime Harrison in South Carolina (whom we first told you about in 2017) and Democrat Charles Booker in Kentucky — another of our Angelic Troublemakers, who are on the primary ballot today in a high-profile race.
*What Would It Mean?
Adding more color to Congress on both sides of the aisle would help the cause of police reform and add a perspective that’s sorely needed on everything from the environment to health care. But it also could help advance the cause of issues like reparations. Consider that a House bill to merely study reparations has 127 co-sponsors — and not a single additional member has jumped on the bill since George Floyd’s death.
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Trump’s sunny side
*Not-So-Teflon Don
President Trump is sinking in the polls and was derided for not being able to draw much of a crowd Saturday in Tulsa, Oklahoma, for his first rally in months. He’s being battered by a bad economy, persistent racial justice protests, and bombshell revelations from former National Security Adviser John Bolton. But there’s still some friendly news on the horizon for Trump
*Predictable Polling Bump
You can almost set your watch to the polls jumping for the president right after Labor Day. Why? Because that’s when major pollsters usually change their samples from “registered voters” to “likely voters” — a metric that traditionally favors Republicans. Between mid-August and mid-September, the polls moved at least 4 points for the Republicans in 2004, 2012, and 2016 presidential races (2008 was more of a yo-yo). Joe Biden is up about 10 points in national polls right now, on average. Be prepared for that number to shrink quickly once the summer ends. But the national number is not what you should be watching …
*Key States
The name of the game is 270 electoral votes. Trump got 304 last time, and he has plenty of paths back to a winning number. We know that Dems have dreams about Texas, Georgia, and Ohio, but let’s assume those are red for now, and Trump shows up to the dance with 204 electoral votes. He gets back to victory if he can hold Florida, North Carolina, Arizona, and Wisconsin. Polling averages have Biden up in 3 of those 4 — but with margins much smaller than his national lead, meaning that Trump has a built-in electoral college advantage. Plus, he can count on extra help from the Republican governors of Arizona and Florida.
*Debatable
Team Trump is challenging Biden to an additional debate — hoping that by showing a vigorous contrast on stage, Trump can win the day. (Biden’s camp says it’s sticking with the three already scheduled.) A major slip by Biden on the biggest possible stage could seal the deal for Trump.
*Law and Order
Going all in against the protests hasn’t yet moved the electoral needle for Trump. But another spasm of violence or a coronavirus outbreak that can be definitively linked to protests could drive voters into Trump’s arms.
*Cash Rules
Biden may have outraised Trump last month, but the incumbent still has one of the biggest financial advantages in history: $187 million extra cash as of the end of April. Trump’s 2016 campaign was patched together with duct tape. This one is a well-oiled machine, perfectly in sync with the Republican National Committee, and with the resources to identify and motivate anyone willing to don a red hat.
*Miracle Cure
There won’t be a widespread vaccine by Election Day, but there’s a decent chance the economy will be on the upswing after this spring’s crash. The Congressional Budget Office projects 21.5 percent GDP growth for the third quarter and a fast-sinking unemployment rate (barring new coronavirus-induced lockdowns) just in time for Americans to mail in their ballots.
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