Kamala Harris (49-50% to 47% in the country) For Trump( 47% overall). Interactive Poll Tracker
The below Polls are at 12:30 noon 11/4/24...To get instant figures you can to to Poll Tracker at The New York Times.
Kamala is ahead by 1% point in the states that need to be won. It is believed that like in the past the polls are underestimating one of the candidates or both. It's possible the same could be at play here also.
Both Trump and Harris have states they can probably count on to get at least 200 electoral votes, but they need to get to 270 to win. Let’s zoom in on seven key states in the middle where the vote was closest in 2020.
If the polls miss in Trump’s favor
Trump could win if the polls are underestimating him even slightly. In 2016 and 2020, he outperformed the polls in the swing states, and he could do it again. Here’s one possibility.
Trump is within 1 point of the lead in these states.
If the polls miss in Harris’s favor
Harris could easily prevail if the polls are underestimating her. For example, state polls underestimated Democrats in the 2022 midterms, and they could also miss in that direction this year. Here’s a possible scenario.
Harris is within 1 point of the lead in these states.
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