Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Polls. Show all posts

January 31, 2017

Poll: Favorability of Trump’s Cabinet Picks

The range goes from 0+ up also from minus -0 down. No one reached very high numbers but they all  had different numbers on the scale. Three of them had minus on the scale.

January 30, 2017

Trump Broken All Records of Disapproval in the First 8 days in WH

 In normal times, it takes American presidents hundreds of days before they reach a majority disapproval rating. 
This has been the case for the last five presidents - with Bill Clinton being the previous record holder after taking 573 days to have more than 50 per cent of Americans disapprove of his presidency.
But Donald Trump, the billionaire businessman, TV star and now US president, has smashed this record after his victory on a wave of anti-establishment anger. 
It has taken just eight days for him to gain a majority disapproval rating, according to Gallup polling, with 51 per cent of Americans saying they disapproved of the President on 28 January 2016.

Trump has broken the record for the amount of time It’s taken for the majority of Americans to disapprove of the President
Days taken to see at least 50% of Americans disapproving of the President

Days in office

 Trump              Clinton    Reagan                     Obama Bush/     HWBush
   8                        573              727                      936     1205       1336……….DAYS

Source Gallop                                     by Adamfoxie*blog

Trump's first week in office has caused controversy and international outcry after a raft of executive orders has seen immigration halted from seven Muslim-majority countries, the unravelling of Obamacare, the withdrawal from the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal and the blocking of funding for groups that perform abortions.
He attacked the media for saying (truthfully) that Obama's inauguration crowd size was larger than his own, after millions of people around the world took to the street on the Women's Marchone day into his presidency.
The unprecedented week in American politics has helped Trump break the record for the shortest amount of time for a president to reach a majority disapproval rating.
Compared to his eight days, it took Barack Obama 936 days and George W. Bush 1,205 days to see over half the country disapprove of them.
The Republican managed to win November's US election by claiming certain key swing states in order to clinch the presidency, despite losing the popular vote by 2.9 million ballots.
This may go some of the way to explain why his approval rating is 24 points lower than Barack Obama’s when he was just eight days into his presidency.

 Ashley Kirk

Obama’s average approval rating was 48 per cent - lower than the last five presidentsAverage approval rating Presidents of the USAObamaBush  How does Trump compare to other presidents before they took office? Even before his inauguration his approval ratings were the lowest of any president in two decades. According to Gallup, the last three presidents had approval ratings of at least 65 per cent during their presidential transitions - significantly higher than Trump's. Some 75 percent of America's approved of the way Obama handled his transition, while 65 per cent approved of Bush and 67 per cent approved of Clinton. 
This compares to Trump, whose transition was approved of by 48 per cent of Americans - while another 48 per cent disapprove. 
According to Gallup, one key reason Trump's transition approval lags behind his predecessors' is because the opposition is far more critical of him.
Before his inauguration, Gallup said: "Trump still has time to turn the tide and avoid starting his presidency with the lowest public support in Gallup's polling history, but that would largely entail gaining the support of independents and, in particular, Democrats - most of whom appear reluctant to back him."

November 9, 2016

This is How The Polls Got It Wrong

November 7, 2016

Swing State Polling

2016 General Election Polling on Leading States Clinton-Trump

Poll Average Favors Clinton 20 hrs Before Elections

November 3, 2016

Poll Average(all polls together) Clinton Vs. Trump

Swing State Polls

October 29, 2016

Election Polling Ending Oct. 26

This is a summary of a YouGov/Economist Poll conducted October 22-26, 2016. The sample is 1376 Registered Voters with a Margin of Error of ±3.1%.

Where not specified otherwise, findings shown are for registered voters.


Who [did/will] you vote for in the election for President in November? 

Four-way presidential vote intention among Likely Voters:

  • Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 46%
  • Donald Trump (Republican): 41%
  • Gary Johnson (Libertarian): 4%
  • Jill Stein (Green): 2%
  • Other: 1%
  • Not sure: 7%
Among Registered Voters
  • Hillary Clinton (Democrat): 45%
  • Donald Trump (Republican): 41%
  • Gary Johnson (Libertarian): 4%
  • Jill Stein (Green): 2%
  • Other: 1%
  • Not sure: 8%
2-way follow-up: Respondents who selected Gary Johnson, Jill Stein, or ’someone else’ were asked the following question ’Which candidate do you prefer more, Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?’ Below those responses have been added to the support for Clinton and Trump from the initial question. 

Major party presidential preference among Likely Voters:

  • Hillary Clinton: 49%
  • Donald Trump: 46%
  • Someone else / Not sure / No preference: 5%
Among Registered Voters: 
  • Hillary Clinton: 48%
  • Donald Trump: 46%
  • Someone else / Not sure / No preference: 6%
What do you think is the most likely outcome of the presidential election with Hillary Clinton as the Democratic nominee and Donald Trump as the Republican nominee?
  • Clinton will win in a landslide: 31% (+3)
  • Clinton will win narrowly: 26% (-3)
  • Trump will win narrowly: 19% (0)
  • Trump will win in a landslide: 9% (+1)
  • Not sure: 16% (-1)


Hillary Clinton 
  • Favorable: 41% (-1)
  • Unfavorable: 57% (0)
  • Not sure: 1% (0)
Donald Trump
  • Favorable: 38% (+2)
  • Unfavorable: 61% (-2) 
  • Not sure: 2% (+1)


Among Likely Voters:

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for...
  • The Democratic Party candidate: 45% 
  • The Republican Party candidate: 40%
  • Other: 2% 
  • Not sure: 12%
  • I would not vote: 1%
Among Registered Voters:

If the election for Congress were being held today, and you had to make a choice, would you be voting for...
  • The Democratic Party candidate: 43% (0) 
  • The Republican Party candidate: 39% (+1)
  • Other: 2% 
  • Not sure: 14%
  • I would not vote: 2%

Approval of Obama as president 
  • Approve: 47% (-3)
  • Disapprove: 50% (+2)
Approval of Congress: 
  • Approve: 11% (-1)
  • Disapprove: 64% (-6)
  • Neither: 17% (+4)

Direction of the country: 
  • Right direction: 29% (+1)
  • Wrong Track: 62% (-1)

October 18, 2016

Poll: Will Count be Accurate in the 2016 Elections?

General Election Polling Clinton-Trump

October 16, 2016

Trumps Chances to Win This Election-Game Have Evaporated


"Donald Trump's chances of winning this election have faded," says Democratic pollster Fred Yang of Hart Research Associates, which conducted this survey with Republican pollster Bill McInturff and his firm Public Opinion Strategies.

"This poll is showing the writing on the wall," Yang adds.

And the Republican McInturff observes that Trump "is in a weaker position than in September," and that his numbers in the poll don't align with anyone who has gone on to win a presidential election.

Clinton Up By 20 Pts Among Women

Looking inside the numbers of the two-way horse race, Clinton holds a 20-point lead among female voters (55 percent to 35 percent), while Trump is ahead among men by just three points (48 percent to 45 percent).

Clinton also has the advantage among African Americans (86 percent to 9 percent), non-white voters (76 percent to 16 percent) and those ages 18-34 (54 percent to 36 percent).

Trump, meanwhile, holds the edge among independents (41 percent to 36 percent) and white voters (51 percent to 40 percent). But there is a difference among whites: Those without college degrees prefer Trump by a 56 percent-to-36 percent margin, while those with college degrees break evenly between Trump and Clinton, 45 percent to 45 percent.

Access Hollywood video of Trump is the 4th-most recognized story in history of NBC/WSJ poll

As for the 2005 video of Trump talking about women in vulgar and crude terms, 95 percent of voters say they saw, read or heard about that news story - which is the fourth-most recognized story in the history of the NBC/WSJ poll (behind the Orlando terrorist attack, the spread of Ebola in West Africa and the Ebola patient in Dallas).

But just 32 percent say that the video disqualifies Trump from being president and believe that he should with withdraw from the race, versus 53 percent who disagree.

Did the debates make a difference?

Additionally in the NBC/WSJ poll, 31 percent of voters said the presidential debates made them more likely to back Hillary Clinton, versus 14 percent who said they made them more likely to support Trump.

Fifty-two percent said the debates made no difference.

The final presidential debate takes place on Wednesday, Oct. 19.

Trump leads (narrowly) on trade, economy; Clinton ahead on being a commander-in-chief and women's issues

On the issues, more voters say Trump would do a better job protecting America's interests on trade issues (by 46 percent to 43 percent). And he holds a one-point advantage on dealing with the economy (44 percent say Trump would do a better job, compared with 43 percent who say Clinton would).

But Clinton has the advantage on the other issues - making appointments to the Supreme Court (48 percent to 38 percent), changing the country for the better (44 percent to 36 percent), being a good commander-in-chief (52 percent to 32 percent) and dealing with issues of concern to women (67 percent to 17 percent).

When it comes to personal characteristics, Clinton leads on having the right temperament to be president (59 percent to 23 percent), while Trump narrowly leads on being honest and straightforward (38 percent to 34 percent).

Democrats don't look as strong down the ballot

Despite Clinton's double-digit lead over Trump in the presidential race, the NBC/WSJ poll finds a closer contest down the ballot. Forty-six percent of registered voters prefer a Democratic-controlled Congress, while 44 percent want a Republican-controlled Congress.

That two-point advantage for Democrats is down from six points in the earlier NBC/WSJ poll (48 percent to 42 percent).

Among likely voters in new poll, 47 percent want a Democratic-controlled Congress and 44 percent want a GOP-controlled one.

By a 53 percent-to-40 percent margin, the poll also finds registered voters saying they'd be more likely to support a Republican candidate who will be a check and balance to Hillary Clinton and congressional Democrats, versus a Democratic candidate who will help Clinton and Democrats pass their agenda.

53 percent approve of Obama's job as president

Finally, the NBC/WSJ poll finds President Obama's job-approval rating at 53 percent among registered voters, which is up one point from last month.

It’s the six-straight month where the president's rating has been above 50 percent in the poll, and it's his highest rating since Dec. 2012, after he won re-election four years ago.

The NBC/WSJ poll was conducted Oct. 10-13 of 1,000 registered voters - via both cell phones and landline phones - and it has an overall margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points. Among the poll's 905 likely voters, the margin of error is plus-minus 3.3 percentage points.

October 11, 2016

Latest polls for Clinton vs. Trump in key swing states [Oct 10 wk]

As the poll shows (wk of Oct.10) Clinton is ahead in 6 out of seven swing states. The exception is Iowa. The graph is interactive, you need to hover your cursor over the graph to get more information. The numbers are not frozen so if there was to be another poll this week, those numbers would change to represent the latest.

We show these particular states because if Trump cannot win on those states he wont be able to win the election. Because Clinton is ahead on the national polls of all likely voters she needs to win 3 or so of those to have the election. Swing states are the ones in which you can’t predict how they vote as in being democrat, republican or independent.  The average poll is one that takes all the polls and mathematically gets the average, this is consider very accurate because it takes into account all national polls for november’s Presidential election.  

October 9, 2016

Polling Just before Presidential Debate 10/9

Democrat Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump in the key battleground states of Florida and Pennsylvania, including by double digits in the Keystone State due to her strength in Philadelphia and its suburbs, according to two brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls.

In Florida, Clinton is ahead of Trump by three points among likely voters, 45 percent to 42 percent, which is within the poll's margin of error. Libertarian Gary Johnson gets 5 percent, and the Green Party's Jill Stein gets three percent.

In a head-to-head matchup in the Sunshine State, Clinton holds a two-point edge over Trump among likely voters, 46 percent to 44 percent. The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Florida was conducted Oct. 3-5 - well before Hurricane Matthew hit the state.

In Pennsylvania, Clinton's lead over Trump is 12 points among likely voters, 49 percent to 37 percent, with Johnson at 6 percent and Stein at 4 percent. Her advantage is an identical 12 points in a two-way contest, 51 percent to 39 percent.

Both polls were conducted before Friday's bombshell release of audio of Trump speaking in 2005 about groping and kissing women.

It would be virtually impossible for Trump to win the White House if he loses both states, especially Florida.

"In terms of pathways to 270 [electoral votes], it's hard to see how Trump can win the White House without carrying this state," says Lee Miringoff, director of Marist College's Institute for Public Opinion.

Examining the racial, geographical and educational divide

In both states, Clinton's lead is due to her performance with minorities, whites with college degrees and urban voters.

In Florida, Clinton runs ahead of Trump in a two-way contest among African Americans (86 percent to 6 percent), Latinos (63 percent to 27 percent), likely voters ages 18-29 (63 percent to 31 percent) and women (51 percent to 41 percent).

Trump, meanwhile, leads among men (48 percent to 41 percent) and whites (55 percent to 36 percent). But there is an important difference here: Trump is ahead among whites without a college degree by a 62 percent-to-29 percent margin.

Yet among whites with a college degree, Trump is up by only four points, 48 percent to 44 percent.

Geographically, Trump holds the advantage in Florida's Panhandle (52 percent to 42 percent) and the Tampa area (49 percent to 39 percent), while Clinton is ahead in the Miami area (57 percent to 34 percent) and Orlando (50 percent to 39 percent).

In Pennsylvania, Clinton has equally large leads among African American likely voters (88 percent to 6 percent) and those ages 18-29 (54 percent to 37 percent. But she holds a nearly 2-to-1 advantage among whites with a college degree (58 percent to 32 percent).

In Philadelphia, Clinton leads Trump by a whopping 74 percent-to-21 percent margin, and her advantage is almost as big in the Philadelphia suburbs, 64 percent to 28 percent.

Trump, by contrast, holds the edge in the western part of the state (45 percent to 42 percent) and in the Northeast (49 percent to 39 percent).

Rubio leads Florida Senate race, Toomey trails in Pennsylvania

Both Florida and Pennsylvania also feature important Senate contests.

In Florida, incumbent Republican Sen. Marco Rubio leads Democratic challenger Patrick Murphy by two points among likely voters, 48 percent to 46 percent.

And in Pennsylvania, incumbent GOP Sen. Pat Toomey trails Democratic challenger Katie McGinty by four points - McGinty gets 48 percent among likely voters, while Toomey gets 44 percent.

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Florida was conducted Oct. 3-5 among 979 registered voters (which has a margin of error of plus-minus 3.1 percentage points) and 700 likely voters (plus-minus 3.7 percentage points).

The NBC/WSJ/Marist poll of Pennsylvania was conducted Oct. 3-6 among 971 registered voters (plus-minus 3.1 percentage points) and 709 likely voters (plus-minus 3.7 percentage points). 

October 7, 2016

Clinton’s Lead Persists as Voter Enthusiasm for Her Grows

Democratic Presidential nominee Hillary Clinton not only “won” last week’s first presidential debate, but according to the latest Economist/YouGov Poll, she managed to raise the enthusiasm of her supporters, erase some doubts about her health and stamina, and outscore Republican Donald Trump on a series of “presidential” qualities, including temperament, qualifications and even appearance.
The debate made little impact on vote preference – Clinton led Trump by three points among registered voters before the debate in a four-way contest, and she led Trump by the same margin afterwards.  43% say they will vote for Clinton in the four-way contest this week, while 40% favor Trump.  But Clinton’s supporters clearly are feeling better about her candidacy now than they were before the debate.  They are now just as likely as Trump‘s voters to say they are enthusiastic about their party’s nominee.  Last week, there was a 13-point gap in enthusiasm.
The enthusiasm gap narrowed not only because Clinton’s voters are happier with her candidacy.  The percentage of Trump voters who say they are enthusiastic about his position as the GOP nominee dropped six points after the debate. 
While a majority of voters (53%) continue to hold negative views of Clinton, her gap between unfavorable and favorable evaluations has narrowed in the last week from 15 points to eight. More (63%) view Trump unfavorably – and unfavorable ratings outnumber favorable ones by 29 points.
Clinton’s debate performance may have put to rest concerns about the former Secretary of State’s health – at least among some voters.  Last week, following her bout with pneumonia, only 45% thought she was physically strong enough to serve effectively as president for four years.  Now, 52% do.  And half believe that she has the stamina to serve as President.
Trump continues to score higher than Clinton on both those measures, and there has been little change in the perception of his health in the last week.
Clinton holds an overwhelming advantage over Trump when it comes to presidential qualifications and presidential temperament.  54% of registered voters say she is qualified for the job; just over a third believe Trump is.  Despite Trump’s claim during the debate that “I think my strongest asset, maybe by far, is my temperament,” registered voters are 23 points more likely to say Clinton has the temperament to be president than to say that about Trump.
That is even clearer when it comes to how the candidates displayed that temperament during the debate: 58% of registered debate watchers thought Clinton showed the temperament for the presidency during the debate.  Just a third said Trump did.  One reason could be the difference in voters’ answers to questions about how the candidates prepared for last week’s debate – just 21% believe Trump prepared enough for the debate, compared with 80% who said Clinton did.  Only a little over a third of Trump’s own supporters believed he prepared enough. 
Another area where Clinton performs better than Trump with the public comes on questions about whether each candidate “looks presidential.”  Despite Trump’s claim that Clinton doesn’t have a “presidential look,” Americans disagree.  Just over half say Clinton does, half say Trump does not. 
But this is a question that elicits gendered answers.  After all, there has never been a woman president.  Men are as likely to say each contender looks presidential as to say the opposite; women view Clinton – but not Trump – as looking presidential.
Of course, as in so many poll questions this year, candidate evaluations often reflect vote choice. In this poll, women voters give Clinton a double-digit lead (47% to 36%) in the four-way contest; men are more closely divided, but favor Trump 44% to 39%.
In this poll, Clinton outscored Trump with viewers in last week’s debate by a 34-point margin.  51% though she did the better job and 17% thought Trump did.  That’s a slightly larger than the margin recorded in the YouGov poll conducted the day after the debate.  But Clinton did not assuage several policy concerns.  Just about half of voters say they are uneasy about Clinton’s approach to handling the economy, terrorism and immigration.  Just over half are uneasy about Trump’s approach to these issues, too.  Clinton does marginally better than Trump when it comes to handling terrorism and immigration; the two are even when it comes to the economy.

September 26, 2016

Poll: Most LGBT Support Clinton But A Surprising Chunk are with Trump

A large majority of registered LGBT voters support Hillary Clinton over Donald Trump, according to results of two weeks of the NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll.

Seventy-two percent of registered LGBT voters support Clinton, compared to 20 percent who support Trump.

On the campaign trail, Trump has touted himself as the better candidate to fight for LGBT rights, but his decision to pick Indiana Gov. Mike Pence as his running-mate was seen by some as contradictory to his LGBT-friendly claims.

When Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein are added to the match-up question, Clinton still maintained the lead among registered LGBT voters with 63 percent support.

Trump, on the other hand, had 15 percent support. Johnson was not far behind with 13 percent, followed by 8 percent support for Stein.  

In past elections, LGBT voters have played an important role. According to results from the 2012 NBC News Exit Polls, 5 percent of voters identified as gay, lesbian or bisexual** and 76 percent voted for Barack Obama. Voters who did not identify as gay, lesbian or bisexual were split—49 percent voted for Obama and 49 percent voted for Romney.

Under President Obama's tenure, the Supreme Court legalized same-sex marriage across the country. The landmark decision was considered a huge victory for LGBT rights. Perhaps unsurprisingly, 78 percent of registered LGBT voters said they approve of the way Obama is handling his job.
From September 5 through September 18, the tracking poll captured 1,728 LGBT respondents, which accounted for 7 percent of the total sample. Two separate questions were asked to gauge sexual orientation and gender identity.*

Across two weeks of data from the tracking poll, a majority (85 percent) identified as heterosexual or straight and 7 percent identified as LGBT—3 percent identified as homosexual, another 3 percent identified as bisexual and 1 percent identified as transgender.

An overwhelming 82 percent of LGBT registered voters said they have an unfavorable impression of Trump compared to 41 percent who said they have an unfavorable impression of Clinton. Just under six in 10 said they have a favorable impression of Clinton. Only 17 percent said the same of Trump.  

The LGBT community has historically supported the Democratic Party, and the tracking poll found that 70 percent of registered LGBT voters were Democrats and Democratic-leaners. More LGBT registered voters identified as Republicans and Republican-leaners (18 percent) than as Independents (13 percent). 

The LGBT community was an important group for Obama’s re-election four years ago and will be a key group for the Democratic Party again in November.

*The NBC News|SurveyMonkey Weekly Election Tracking poll included two questions across two weeks - September 5 through September 18: 1) Do you consider yourself to be: Heterosexual or straight, Homosexual, Bisexual, Prefer not to answer 2) Do you consider yourself to be transgender? Yes, No

 NBC News/Survey Monkey Weekly Election Tracking Poll 

**The national exit poll numbers are among those who identify as gay, lesbian or bisexual and do not include transgender voters

September 8, 2016

Is Hillary Blowing her Lead?

As Trump leads in a poll, it's important to look at the averages (and to remember they're not perfect either)
Is Hillary Clinton blowing her lead?
Not yet, but her convention “bump” may have turned out to be more of a “bounce” after all. Donald Trump has clearly recovered a bit, going from a high single-digit deficit to a low single-digit deficit (a trend confirmed by this week’s YouGov/Economist Poll). But it’s important to keep an eye on the big picture – polls like the latest CNN/ORC poll with surprising results (Trump leads by two among likely voters – his first lead in any major media poll since July) will get outsized coverage simply because the results are surprising, and also because a major media organization with a big megaphone paid for the poll. Polling averages show the race narrowing, but all show Clinton leading by 2-5 points. That said, poll averages have disadvantages of their own.
What’s wrong with poll averages? 
Don’t get me wrong: if you want to look at one number, the average is probably better than just the latest splashy poll. However, by their nature, averages leave out certain information – including the spread of the results (highs and lows) as well as the exact timing of the interviews for the polls included in the average. This information can be important when judging how reliable a measure the average is for where things are now. To keep an eye on some of these factors, I started tracking the polls using the below visualization, which shows Clinton’s lead in recent 2-way polls according to the period when interviews for the poll were conducted.
Notice only a few polls conducted interviews over the past week (part of this is probably because polling over Labor Day, when many people are away from home, is especially difficult) and there’s not yet a clear grouping of polls around a certain level. What this helps to show is that “wait and see” is sometimes as important as “look at the averages” when reading polls. This is especially true now, because there is usually a wave of high-quality polling starting after Labour Day and ending on Election Day.
Are the polls “predictive” yet?
You may have heard (here, for example) that you should probably “wait until Labour Day” to start paying close attention to the polls. Well, Labour Day has come and gone – what does that mean? Essentially, there will be more polls in the final stretch of the campaign and later polls tend to be closer to the actual outcome. David Byler of RealClearPolitics analyzed historical polling data to show in more detail what this means for Trump (and Clinton) in the final stages of the race. Byler writes: “Trump can still win, to do so he needs to be within a few points in late September, and there isn't much time to move polls in October”.
Is history a good guide this year? 

I’ve made this point before, but it’s worth revisiting. Any historical analysis of election polling is based on the dozen or so elections since modern polling began. This is a small sample size, there have been oddball elections, and 2016 may be one of them. Below I have charted the share of voters choosing alternatives to the the main party candidates in 2008, 2012 and 2016 – this includes undecided voters as well as third party voters and non-voters.
Clearly, 2016 is different. Will these undecided/third party voters “come home” to the major party candidates? Maybe, maybe not. But this wasn’t a question that mattered as much in 2008 or 2012 when they made up only 5-10% of respondents. In 2016 potential for this group to swing disproportionately to Clinton or Trump introduces an uncommonly high degree of uncertainty about the polls. 
So, what’s behind the tightening in the race?
As these few charts from pollster Charles Franklin demonstrate, Clinton has slipped among Democratic-leaning voters, while Trump has recovered among Republicans. YouGov’s own polling shows that many Democratic-leaning Sanders supporters remain skeptical of Clinton, and the “pay-for-play” stories regarding the Clinton Foundation play into preexisting concerns about corruption and integrity. The stories could have the same effect on anti-Trump Republicans. There is little evidence that Trump’s own overtures on race and immigration are helping him: in the latest YouGov/Economist poll, 54% say Trump is “racist”, nominally more than the 51% who said the same thing the week before. Clinton has spent the month trying to make the campaign about the threat posed by Trump; to get back to her post-convention highs, she may need to remind voters why she is a good alternative.

 Will Jordan, elections analyst. 

“The Pulse: Polling Your Hair Out”
The Pulse is a weekly newsletter YouGov has launched ahead of the 2016 primaries and general election to give readers a one-stop-shop for the latest polling-related news from the campaign. In addition to YouGov’s own extensive coverage of the election, The Pulse gives you the five things you need to know about the state of the campaign each week. 

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